Saturday, 12 April 2014

Dubai rents rise despite new supply

Dubai: The upward pressure on Dubai’s residential rents continues to mount even as new homes are getting delivered in higher numbers — in the first three months of this year, rentals were up by 7 per cent over the fourth quarter of 2013. On a year-on-year basis, Dubai’s tenants may have seen a 23 per cent increase on average in what they are paying to their landlords, according to an update put out by consultant JLL.

Apartment rentals — and the most worrying for the vast majority of the city’s tenant base — recorded a 26 per cent annual gain, while those for villas were slightly muted at 12 per cent. The JLL forecasts, however, suggest that the pace of rental increase might be slowing down.

If it has to slow down appreciably, more of the immediate property supply needs to get into the hands of end-users. In the first quarter, around 1,800 units were handed over in the city and a further 24,000 are expected for the full year, based on JLL estimates.

In all, 39,000 homes are to be delivered in the next two years, which would be a 9 per cent increase over the existing total stock of 365,000 units in Dubai. The question would then be whether this represents a sufficiently large base to keep medium-term rental increases in some sort of check.


“Dubai’s momentum from 2013 has carried through into the first quarter of 2014,” said Craig Plumb, regional head of research at JLL.

For those tenants considering a shift to buying their own homes, the continuing sales value gains is a constant niggle. For instance, “affordable” residential communities went through some of the sharpest increases in asking prices. Sports City saw an upturn of 41 per cent on an year-on-year basis, according to JLL, while International City and Discovery Gardens were higher by 35 per cent and 33 per cent respectively.


Values in the prime locations of Downtown and Marina were up “only” 24 and 21 per cent respectively during the same period. In fact, trends indicate that in Marina, JBR and The Palm, prices are now near or already on par with their 2008 peaks.

“There are a lot more potential end-users in the market now interested in properties across the entire price spectrum whereas earlier they were mostly found in the Dh5 million plus bracket,” said Chandrakant Whabi, CEO of Acrohouse Properties.

“There is a lot more activity taking place in the Dh2-4 million property price category and that can be put down to those tenants seeking a home of their own. By getting in now, they also seem to be hedging against further value increases that would make it difficult for them to buy.

“For many, it could be that they had enough of being pushed around by landlords - that can prove an overwhelming sentiment driving future demand trajectory.”




Comments (33)

  1. Added 17:36 April 8, 2014
    The landlords are increasing the rent as per their wish and they are trying to justify that it is as per the rent index .There is no index to know whether the tenants can afford it or all the people working in different sectors and companies have sufficient income to pay.every year there is 5,10 15 even more percentage hike in rent and the salary remain same how this will balanced.
    ibrahim, Dubai, India
  2. Added 17:16 April 8, 2014
    In our Old Villa in Satwa, wherein we rented a very small partition, we received an increase of 20% without any renovation or a drop of paint to clean the walls, or an insect spray to kills the bed bugs, cleaning of water tank for maybe 20 years ,in short no, other changes but the increased of rent and DEWA bills. the moment expo winning announced-the ff day we received the noticed of increase in rent by 20 %...Miserable situation for us with meager income. Please consider our situation too.
    CORAZON TARCENA, DUBAI, United Arab Emirates
  3. Added 16:22 April 8, 2014
    There are lot of good works and foresighted actions happening in this place in the growth path. I hope the authorities will defenitely look into the aspect of unfair huge rent increases by land lords as well. The middle class people suffer due to huge increases of rent. Even in very old buildings without any modern facilities, the same standard of rent increase is used. But, there is no corresponding increase in salaries (except for the few lucky ones). Hope the authorities will look into this and rectify the loop holes.
    SA, Dubai, United Arab Emirates
  4. Added 15:16 April 8, 2014
    Is there anyone who read this and takes action?.In Al Nahda sharjah I am paying 35,000 and now the rent will increase between 55,000 to 65,000. What type of an increase is this?. Owners says take it or leave. My Question is where is law? Simply now i am living with my family (Wife & Three Kids) i am spending almost my full salary here, if i will unable to servive, i will send my family to my home country and i will start to live alone here in this case definatly i can save money.In 2020 visitors will come for visit but what about residence visa holders they are living now i think no one thinking for us?.This will only promote to people to share flats/Villas, which is again against the rule and may be some serioues issues will arise. There should be some standard to rent the flat. Some rules and conditions to control the rental increase. Is there anyone who can help to control all this?. Please i have request to govt they should make strict rules regarding rent.
    Asif, DUBAI, United Arab Emirates
  5. Added 15:07 April 8, 2014
    As per RERA, the landlord is allowed to increase from 10%-20% depends on the area prices which are placed by RERA themselves. if the landlord is increasing any dhs above the 20% limit. you can go file a case against them and they will get into trouble. Been there done that. Dubai has order and laws, people just need to know them and follow them.
    Amer, Dubai, United Arab Emirates
  6. Added 14:33 April 8, 2014
    As per latest reports from my friends, there are lot of vacant buildings and flats available. But every one thinks it will be rented out only at higher rate. But the problem is if we take these rents , we cannot pay at the end. there is no salary increase or benefits for last 5yrs.
    JACK, Dubai, United Arab Emirates
  7. Added 14:30 April 8, 2014
    In my opinion, yes landlords are greedy, specially owners of freehold properties who are themselves expatriates and have invested in property to make a profit. But the main driving factor behind this rent increase nuisance are the greedy real estate brokers. Seems they have not learnt any lesson from 2008. They are the ones who, in their endeavor to extract greater commissions from owners and tenants alike, keep showing greener pasture to the landlords. I bet you if RERA takes matters into their own hands by passing a law by way of which all properties for rent and sale can only pass through RERA and eliminate the real estate brokers from the equation, the rental market will definitely be corrected and brought to the position where it should be.
    Nasir, Dubai, United Arab Emirates
  8. Added 14:00 April 8, 2014
    Think there is something inherently charecteristical and unique to property market in UAE particularly Dubai when it comes to what determines pricing.. it doesnt have a corelation between supply and demand but rather appears to have other factors influencing the ups and downs ( although rent going down is far from a possibility) such as rumour milling, sense of insecurity in jobs so a new tenant's first priority is to settle down whatver may be the cost, a strong perception that an expatriate tenant cannot easily win the case against a landlord or real estate holdings company etc.. In spite of being considered a tax haven , it is a paradox that more than half of the salary of an expatriate worker goes towards hiked up rents. You may have had lived in an apartment for 20 years but there is no way you can own it , another reason perhaps the most important reason for such a situation exists here
    Ismail Mohd, Dubai, United Arab Emirates
  9. Added 13:56 April 8, 2014
    Why are thee people complaining.. why can't they just celebrate the winning of Expo 2020 on the streets in the evening, go to work in the day time ...spent the hard earned money in the evenings.... so that life in Dubai is like Alice in Wanderland!!!
    Bhakthavar Khan, Dubai, United Arab Emirates
  10. Added 13:44 April 8, 2014
    I laud the UAE for winning the Expo 2020. However, can someone please explain to me why the landlords are increasing their rents phenomenally and giving Expo 2020 as an excuse. The Expo shall take place only 6 years later and how this has any bearing on existing rents, is beyond me. Some action should be taken by the government to curb this.
    Seema R, Dubai, United Arab Emirates

Driverless cars inch their way closer to reality

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  • Image Credit: Dana A. Shams/Gulf News

Cars that drive themselves? A few years ago, this would have been science fiction. Not so far-fetched now.
Aircrafts have had a autopilot for a long time now. In fact, a lot of the technology such as cameras, sensors, radars and imaging systems required to build truly autonomous vehicles are already available.
Multiple experimental vehicles are being tested for varying levels of operational autonomy. Google’s technology has driven a Toyota Prius over 300,000 kilometres around the US without a single technology caused accident. General Motors, Toyota, Mercedes-Benz, Audi, BMW and Volvo are all testing their own full or partial autonomous systems.
Volvo has launched the ‘autonomous valet parking cars’ in Europe. Nissan recently committed to launch an ‘Autonomous Drive’ system by 2020. The transition is inevitable. We do expect it to happen in a building block form like advanced driver assistance systems, park assist systems, or integrated vehicle health monitoring and autonomous systems
Moving from Point A to Point B involves planning and decision-making about mode of transport, routes, times, safety, comfort, weather, luxury and convenience. However, it is a fact that a significant percentage of road accidents stem from human errors. Making vehicles autonomous globally could be around $300-400 billion of economic impact if you take into account loss of human life, their economic impact to the society and the allied claims.
There is a lot to be gained by removing humans from driving. There is no reason that technology cannot make roads driver-free as seen in cases of trains/locomotives and aircrafts in autopilot mode.
The question is can we make it affordable, safer and easy to use and bound by regulations which itself is evolving? Nevertheless, the sheer number of people around the globe who will be affected by autonomous vehicles is staggering.
Apart from the primary technology required to actually build a road-safe autonomous vehicle, we can safely foresee huge regulatory and infrastructure challenges. Autonomous vehicles make more sense only if the infrastructure also enables it. Just like electric vehicles required an ecosystem of charging points that could quickly charge a vehicle without bringing down the grid, new infrastructure requirements such as intelligent traffic lights, smart lanes with sensors and automated parking infrastructure will accelerate the adoption of autonomous vehicles.
Countries conform to their own traffic rules and implement their own safety regulation. Any autonomous vehicle system must be ready to be tested and certified on any safety regulation around the globe. This is a massive challenge. Companies must be ready to programme and tailor their intelligent drive systems for different geographies which suit different cultures.
Also, such vehicles bring in a certain amount of threat to personal privacy. Autonomous vehicles are built with advanced sensing and tracking capabilities and are constantly monitored. While this feature is intended to complement vehicle performance, we cannot overlook the fact that this may create new security concerns and lend itself to commercial misuse.
Finally, there is the challenge of customer adoption. Will consumers adopt something that will change a fundamental way of life? Can someone give up driving as a passion? This final hurdle could well be the biggest one, but at the same time, everyone can enjoy the pleasure of being seated in the driver’s seat calmly without getting ruffled by the chaos of traffic.
Fuel efficiency has always been a USP for the automotive industry. Autonomous vehicles can provide better fuel efficiency because they are equipped with intelligent technologies that enable this.
Safety is one segment where autonomous vehicle can make their biggest impact. By eliminating human intervention altogether, autonomous cars with the proper intelligent infrastructure can reduce road accidents significantly.
Additionally, autonomous vehicles are believed to have the potential to shorten travel time and improve traffic flow. They can free up valuable driving time and enable car owners to complete other tasks while on the move or merely enjoy the ride.
How will the industry change? Technologically speaking, would a driverless car look like the cars of today? For instance, in a completely driverless car, do we need a steering wheel? Companies also need to think about how other innovations like fuel cells and nanotechnology can complement such autonomous vehicle even while reducing the cost.
Whatever the changes the industry can expect, we can safely assume that the role of ‘intelligence’ within such cars will be significantly greater than what they are today. Automotive companies must partner with companies that can help develop, test and implement this intelligence into the vehicles. Or could this create a new industry by itself?
The automotive industry has already been adapting to this change. It started with the inclusion and integration of electronics and Artificial Intelligence into cars.
Next-generation cars include electronics in everything from braking systems, engine system, power train, body controls to infotainment, enabled with advanced driver assist systems integrating with multiple types of sensor inputs, radar and image fusion and analytics. System architecture, aystem integration and system testing would be more challenging than ever before.
For autonomous vehicles to become a reality, these requirements will only increase. What is needed is a more agile automotive ecosystem that must create and adopt technology faster than before.
— The writer is the head for integrated engineering solutions at Tech Mahindra.

Oil markets swim in calm waters

Services2


The oil market has rarely been so quiet. Benchmark Brent has traded in a narrow range of $5 either side of $110 per barrel since the summer of 2012.
Price volatility has fallen to some of the lowest levels since crude futures markets were established in the early 1980s.
Oil prices have rarely been so stable for so long since the 1973 oil shock ended the long period of calm in the 1950s and 1960s and ushered in the era of OPEC dominance. Measured volatility in front-month Brent futures prices has been below average continuously for almost two years. For much of this time, volatility has actually been below the 25th and 10th percentiles of the 1988-2014 distribution.
Annualised volatility so far this year is running at 15 per cent or less, compared with an average of 30 per cent since 1988. Large daily price moves have become increasingly infrequent. Even major supply disruptions from the North Sea and Libya have failed to move prices.
Crude has moved into a new era in which confidence about plentiful shale oil from the US is more than enough to offset political risks emanating from the Middle East and production problems in other regions.
French mathematician Benoit Mandelbrot, the leading expert on volatility, argued that commodity markets, like other financial assets, swing between a mild state and a wild one, alternating between periods of low and high volatility. But the oil market has been stuck in its current calm state for such an abnormally long period that it seems safe to infer that something fundamental has changed in the way oil prices trade and behave.
It is not hard to find the explanation. The period of high and rapidly rising prices between 2004 and early 2012, briefly interrupted in 2008 and 2009, has produced a profound “regime change”.
From the demand side, consumption of liquid transport fuels has peaked in the developed economies as automotive engines become more efficient and petroleum-derived gasoline and diesel are being partially replaced by biofuels. On the supply side, high prices have spurred development of shale and reversed the previous trend towards growing dependence on conventional oilfields in the Middle East and OPEC member states.
It has decisively altered the medium-term outlook in the minds of many producers, consumers and traders and reshaped what they consider to be the normal range for oil prices, something Paul Stevens at Chatham House calls traders’ “bands of belief”. One result is that there is now almost no discussion among market participants or in the media about oil and other fossil fuel reserves peaking or running out.
Controversy about speculation in the market has almost entirely disappeared as oil prices have stabilised. Another result is that investors have largely lost interest in buy-and-hold commodity strategies that relied on oil and other fuels becoming progressively more scarce and expensive.
The number of hedge funds specialising in oil has begun to fall, and institutional investors are allocating a smaller share of their portfolios to commodity-based products. Trading activity has shifted from banks, hedge funds and mutual funds specialising in trading outright prices to merchants and the trading desks of the major oil companies, which are expert at locational and quality arbitrage.
At a more global strategic level, the influence of traditional oil exporters around the Arabian Gulf is declining as alternative supplies become more available, now and in future. Political risk and other sources of supply-side risk are diminishing as oil supplies become more geographically diversified.
It is no coincidence that the oil market in 2014 is beginning to resemble the markets of the 1950s and 1960s, because that was the last time the US, with its large, stable and non-monopolised oil industry, was the marginal producer in the global oil market.
Oil markets are inherently cyclical. The long-term behaviour of oil prices owes more to Hyman Minsky (“Stabilising an unstable economy”) than Francis Fukuyama (“The end of history and the last man”).
The current calm will eventually sow the seeds of its own destruction as complacency grows. But in the meantime, the market appears firmly settled into a new era that is transforming the role of everyone involved in the production, transportation, refining, risk management and consumption of oil.

Heathrow losing top international passenger slot to Dubai

London: Heathrow is losing its top slot as the world’s busiest international passenger hub to Dubai, which the airport says reinforces its case for a third runway to protect UK competitiveness.

The number of passengers passing through the UK’s main air hub in March was down 2.8 per cent on March 2013 to 5.8 million, of whom 5.3 million were international, the airport announced on Friday.

Colin Matthews, Heathrow’s chief executive, said the decline was in line with expectations and largely because of Easter moving from March to April in 2014.

However, in March, Dubai reported higher international passenger numbers than Heathrow over a two-month period for the first time.


The Middle East hub that is home to Emirates Airline and flydubai said the expansion of the two operators was behind a rise of 11.7 per cent in its passenger traffic to 5.68 million in February from the same period last year. For the first two months of the year passenger numbers rose 13.5 per cent to 12.08 million.

The comparable figure for Heathrow for the past two months was 9.8 million international passengers.


Paul Griffiths, Dubai Airports chief executive, said he expected Dubai International to overtake Heathrow in terms of international passenger numbers by 2015.

Forecast

Heathrow is the world’s third biggest airport by total passenger numbers and was still the largest when measured by international passengers last year. However Matthews said Dubai’s forecast “shows that the UK will soon no longer have the world’s number one airport for international passenger traffic”.

“We want Britain to continue to compete globally against the best hub airports in the world, but without a third runway Heathrow’s comparative decline will make the whole of the UK a less attractive to do business.”

Stephen Furlong, airlines analyst at Davy, said it was not just Dubai that was threatening Heathrow’s position as the pre-eminent long-haul hub. “There’s Abu Dhabi, Istanbul, Paris Charles de Gaulle, Frankfurt, Munich and others,” he said. “They’re all growing and some exponentially.”

Matthew’s comments come shortly after Gatwick published research arguing that it was the most appropriate site for another runway because the rise of low-cost airlines in Europe meant that the biggest demand was for short-haul flights.

The Airports Commission, set up by the government and chaired by Sir Howard Davies, in December shortlisted Heathrow and Gatwick as potential locations for the UK’s next new runway and both airports are keen to be selected as the most suitable site.

The commission is also examining a proposal by Boris Johnson, mayor of London, to build a new hub in the Thames estuary.

Underlying basis

Furlong said that while the decision on where to build London’s next runway was political, “on an economic basis it’s hard to argue that Heathrow shouldn’t be allowed to grow”. “At the end of the day the long-haul hub for the UK is Heathrow.”

Heathrow’s 3 per cent passenger growth to 72.3 million last year was flattered by fewer people flying out of the airport in the run-up to and during the 2012 London Olympics. On an underlying basis, the number of passengers rose 2 per cent in 2013.

Gatwick, the UK’s second biggest airport, has said its passenger numbers rose 4 per cent to 35.4 million last year.

On Thursday, MPs said that the Christmas Eve flooding at Gatwick — during which 11,000 people were affected by delays and cancellations — should be a “wake-up call for airports across the UK” in tackling disruption.

“Disruption of whatever nature should be met with well-drilled plans, familiar to airport operators, airlines, and other contractors, which put passenger interests first,” the transport select committee said in a report.

Among Heathrow’s emerging market destinations, traffic to Mexico was up 19 per cent, China 11.67 per cent and Turkey 7.2 per cent.

Indian priest faces deportation for molestation in US

Washington: An Indian-American priest who admitted to fondling a girl while attending dinner at her grandmother’s home in Minnesota has been sentenced to 25 years of supervised probation, according to media reports.

Father Leo Charles Koppala pleaded guilty on March 17 to criminal sexual conduct charges involving a minor child and is likely to be deported to India, according to local CBS News.

Koppala, 47, was a priest of the Nellore Diocese in Andhra Pradesh in South India where he reportedly helped raise money to support an orphanage, according to Fairmont Sentinel.

Koppala was charged in the case in June 2013 and could have faced up to 36 years in prison.


He had been placed on administrative leave from the Diocese of Winona in southern Minnesota since June 10, 2013, but was permanently terminated from the ministry after Monday’s sentencing, the CBS said.

Koppala was taken into custody by the Department of Homeland Security and will remain in custody until his likely deportation. He had been accused of sexually assaulting a 12-year-old girl June 8, 2013. The victim was spending the weekend at her grandmother’s house when the assault took place.

According to a criminal complaint, her grandmother invited Koppala over for supper and at one point in the evening the victim went downstairs to watch television. Koppala later came down the stairs, pulled the victim up from where she was sitting and told her that he was glad to be away from her grandmother.

He then allegedly kissed the victim on the cheeks and lips and touched her inappropriately. Koppala has also told her, when she was done with school he wanted to come to her house so they could be free together and that he loved her, the complaint said.

According to CBS News, when the grandmother was interviewed she confirmed that Koppala had gone downstairs while she was on the phone.

She said that when they both came upstairs, she could tell by the victim’s demeanour that she was upset about something.

After Koppala left the victim told her what happened, the complaint said.

Under his sentencing guidelines, Koppala must register as a predatory offender and have no contact with females under the age of 18, CBS said.

Swinging voter? Man with 39 wives courted in India election

 

With 39 wives and 127 children and grandchildren, Chana can deliver a sizeable bloc of support

Aizawl: As India holds the latest round of its mammoth elections Friday, one man — polygamist and sect leader Zionnghaka Chana — has become the voter every local politician wants to know.
With 39 wives and 127 children and grandchildren, Chana is a voter like no other in the remote northeastern state of Mizoram, and can deliver a sizeable bloc of support.
“We were witnessing a rush of politicians seeking votes in the last few days,” Chana said from his 100-room home in the hills of Baktawng village outside the state capital Aizawl.
“During every election we are much in demand as the winning margins of politicians in this state are slim, so even 100-odd votes matter to them,” Chana, 70, said earlier this week.
Mizoram is the only state voting on Friday, in the fourth of nine stages of voting in the world’s biggest election, after the Election Commission rescheduled polling following a dispute over whether tribal groups displaced during recent ethnic strife were allowed to vote in their refugee camps.
The state represents less than one per cent of India’s 814 million-strong electorate. Voting across India ends on May 12, with results due four days later.
“When we go to vote, we always cast our ballots for the same candidate or party. That means more than 160-odd votes are assured from one family,” said one of Chana’s wives, Rinkmini.
Like most voters at this election, Chana said he wanted clean government and development so that his family could prosper.
“All we want is good governance and the well-being of the state instead of personal gains for our family from the politicians,” he said.
The sect, founded by Chana’s grandfather in the 1930s, has some 1,700 members including four generations of the Chana family, many of whom carve wooden furniture and make pottery items.
Its philosophy is based on Christian teachings, although leaders from the Presbyterian church, the main faith in the state, reject Chana’s embrace of polygamy.

Friday, 11 April 2014

Oscar Pistorius: I didn't hear Reeva scream

 

Oscar Pistorius trial day 20 - in 60 seconds


Oscar Pistorius has told his murder trial that girlfriend Reeva Steenkamp did not scream or shout as he grabbed a gun and fired shots that killed her.

Prosecutor Gerrie Nel said it was "improbable" that she would stand in the bathroom saying nothing while Mr Pistorius was just 3m (10ft) away shouting at her to call the police.

Mr Pistorius said he could not explain why she had not shouted out.

The athlete, 27, denies murder saying the killing was a terrible accident.

Analysis

Oscar Pistorius has been on the stand for an entire week - but the back and forth of cross-examination is where testimony is tested and concessions are made.
"What would a reasonable person do?" This was one of prosecutor Gerrie Nel's questions. The answer could be the difference between negligence and intent - although we're not quite there yet.
As he was preparing to wrap up for the day, Mr Nel accused the athlete of creating a version of events that did not happen. "She had nothing to be scared of except you," Mr Nel charged, but the accused denied this.
The prosecutor pointed out that Mr Pistorius was making "mistakes", a point the judge also noted. The court would not accept his explanation that the mistakes were a result of him being tired.
The state has alleged that the pair had an argument in the bedroom and she ran away from him. We don't have any indication of how the state plans to prove this. Neighbours have testified to hearing "loud voices".

He admits killing Ms Steenkamp but says he fired his gun after mistaking her for an intruder.

He believed she had been in bed when he grabbed his gun, made his way to the bathroom and fired shots through the door.

The prosecution says he deliberately killed her after an argument.

On the third day of his cross-examination, Mr Nel pressed the South African Olympic sprinter to explain the final moments leading up to the shooting.

He asked why he had not checked whether Ms Steenkamp had heard his calls for her to phone the police, or why he had not taken her to safety instead of going to confront the supposed intruder.

Mr Pistorius said it was his personality to confront what he believed was an intruder.

The trial has been adjourned until Monday morning.
'She was scared of you'
Later, Mr Nel questioned Mr Pistorius's account that he had not heard Ms Steenkamp shout or scream during the whole incident.

"When you shouted at Reeva to phone the police, she was 3m away from you in the toilet, but she didn't say anything," he said. "Why would she not say anything?"

June Steenkamp, centre, mother of the late Reeva Steenkamp, listens in the public gallery, as state prosecutor Gerrie Nel questions Oscar Pistorius, in court in Pretoria, South Africa, 11 April 2014 Reeva Steenkamp's mother, June, has said Mr Pistorius tried to say sorry to the family privately

Prosecutor Gerrie Nel Prosecutor Gerrie Nel began the day asking Mr Pistorius about his alarm system at home

Mr Pistorius said he did not know.

The prosecutor accused the athlete of lying, and said he had shot Ms Steenkamp while she was talking to him from the bathroom.

Gerrie Nel: Fierce prosecutor

State prosecutor Gerrie Nel
  • One of South Africa's most prominent lawyers
  • More than 30 years' experience
  • Prosecuted former police boss Jackie Selebi on corruption charges, calling him an "arrogant liar" during cross-examination

"She wasn't scared of an intruder," he said. "She was scared of you."

He went on: "Are you sure that Reeva did not scream after the first shot?"

Mr Pistorius took a long time to answer, and broke down into sobs.

"At no point did Reeva shout out or scream," he said.

Mr Nel then disputed his claim, saying he would not have been able to hear if he had just fired his gun.

Prosecution witnesses have testified to hearing a woman scream, but the defence disputes their testimony.
'Fixated' on intruder
At one point the judge admonished Mr Nel, telling him not to call a witness a "liar" while he was giving evidence.

The BBC's Pumza Fihlani, at court in the capital, Pretoria, explains that lawyers can say witnesses are lying but not call them liars.

Mr Pistorius told the court he had heard a window opening and closing, and had immediately got out of bed and grabbed his gun.

"I told Reeva to get down and phone the police," he said.

Oscar Pistorius: The charges

  • Pre-meditated murder of Reeva Steenkamp on 14 Feb 2013
  • If found not guilty, the judge automatically considers a charge of culpable homicide, or manslaughter
  • Discharging a firearm in public at Tasha's restaurant on 11 Jan 2013
  • Discharging a firearm in public by firing it through a car sunroof on 30 Nov 2012
  • Illegal possession of 0.38 ammunition
He denies all charges

Mr Nel asked if he had not looked at Ms Steenkamp, or asked if she had heard the noise.

"My whole being was fixated on this person that I thought was in the bathroom," Mr Pistorius said.

Before the cross-examination resumed on Friday, Mr Nel confirmed that Mr Pistorius had asked to meet Ms Steenkamp's family to apologise for killing her.

The double amputee faces life imprisonment if convicted of murdering the 29-year-old model.

If he is acquitted of murder, the court must consider an alternative charge of culpable homicide, for which he could receive up to 15 years in prison.

Mr Pistorius also faces charges of illegally firing a gun in public and of illegally possessing ammunition, both of which he denies.

There are no juries at trials in South Africa, and his fate will ultimately be decided by the judge, assisted by two assessors.

INTERACTIVE
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  • 1. Balcony

    × Balcony
    Mr Pistorius said in his statement at the start of the trial that he woke in the early hours and walked on his stumps to the balcony, pulled in two fans, closed the sliding door and drew curtains. He said that shortly before he had spoken to Reeva, who was in bed beside him.

    He said he rejected prosecution claims that a witness heard arguing coming from the house before the shooting.

Controversy flares as Condoleezza Rice joins Dropbox board

 


Condoleezza Rice gestures while speaking at the California Republican Party 2014 Spring Convention Ms Rice, US Secretary of State 2005-2009, was appointed by Dropbox to help expand their global footprint

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The appointment of ex-US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice to the board of technology firm Dropbox is being criticised by some service users.

Protests on social media say she is a controversial figure after revelations of widespread wiretapping on US citizens during her time in office.

A petition has been launched inviting supporters to boycott the firm.

However some analysts claim the bigger concerns for the file-sharing company are competing services.

Following the launch of Mailbox for Android and the wider implementation of Dropbox for Business, the company also announced the addition of Condoleezza Rice as a new board member.

Start Quote

We're honoured to be adding someone as brilliant and accomplished as Dr Rice to our team.”
End Quote Dropbox

Ms Rice, who served as former President George W Bush's Secretary of State from 2005 to 2009 and National Security Adviser 2001 - 2005, was appointed by the company to expand its global footprint, according to its official blog.

However, this has been condemned by some Dropbox users who have launched a campaign.

Voicing concerns on social media, some have said it is inappropriate for the file-sharing company to hire Ms Rice, accusing her of being involved in widespread wiretapping during her time in office.

Those pressing Dropbox to revoke Ms Rice's appointment are using the hashtag #DropDropbox in an attempt to boycott the company. A petition has also been created which amassed approximately 3,000 signatures in its first few hours.

Another site said: "This is deeply disturbing, and anyone - or any business - who values ethics should be concerned," before listing a number of Dropbox alternatives for those who wish to boycott the company.

It also says Ms Rice should not hold power at Dropbox because of her role in the Iraq war.
'Short-term'
However, Chris Green, Principal Technology Analyst of Davies Murphy Group, told the BBC that most users probably wouldn't be concerned over Ms Rice's appointment.

"The vast majority of the company's 275 million users are unlikely to be swayed or concerned by the short-term negative PR that Condoleezza Rice's appointment is generating for Dropbox," he said.

"The backlash is fuelled far more by pent-up anger at the administration she served in than a genuine concern for the security of Dropbox users' data.

The bigger concern for Dropbox, says Mr Green, is the growing competition it faces, which includes big names such as Microsoft, Google and Amazon.

All of them "are offering competing services with either more free storage or more compelling commercial packages than Dropbox offers."

The company has yet to release an official statement addressing the backlash, but a recent Dropbox blog post said: "We're honoured to be adding someone as brilliant and accomplished as Ms Rice to our team."

Does a baby's name affect its chances in life?

 


Four baby boys


When parents spend hours poring over baby name books they may imagine that their choice will have a major impact on their child's life. But do names make a difference? Two recent books put this idea under the microscope.

Choosing a name for a child is complicated. Not only should it sound right with the family name but future nicknames - good and bad - need to be taken into consideration. A name might honour a favourite grandparent, but it will also have a forgotten meaning to be unearthed in books, and dubious modern associations to be checked on Google.

Dalton Conley and his wife Ellen were halfway through this pleasant but painstaking process when their baby girl was born, two months premature.

"We had narrowed down the selections to a bunch of E- names, but we couldn't ultimately decide," says Conley, who lives in New York. "Then we came up with the idea of, 'Let's just constrain the first degree of freedom. Let's just give her the first letter and then she can decide when she's old enough what it stands for.'"

And so, E was born. Now 16, she hasn't yet felt the need to extend her first name. "I think once you're given a name, you get used to it - it's part of you," she says. E's little brother, meanwhile, Yo Xing Heyno Augustus Eisner Alexander Weiser Knuckles, did take up his parents' offer to change his name. He added the Heyno and Knuckles when he was four, and his parents made the changes official.

E, Dalton and Yo Xing Heyno Augustus Eisner Alexander Weiser Knuckles Conley E Harper Nora, Dalton and Yo Xing Heyno Augustus Eisner Alexander Weiser Knuckles Conley

"I have been called a child abuser online," says Dalton Conley, the author of Parentology: Everything You Wanted to Know about the Science of Raising Children but Were Too Exhausted to Ask. "I don't think I've saddled them with some horrible burden. They like the fact that they have unique names now."

Over the last 70 years, researchers have tried to gauge the effect on an individual of having an unusual name. It is thought that our identity is partly shaped by the way we are treated by other people - a concept psychologists call the "looking-glass self" - and our name has the potential to colour our interactions with society. Early studies found that men with uncommon first names were more likely to drop out of school and be lonely later in life. One study found that psychiatric patients with more unusual names tended to be more disturbed.

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A baby's name tag
  • Dalton Conley and Gregory Clark were featured on the Why Factor on the BBC World Service

But more recent work has presented a mixed picture. Richard Zweigenhaft, a psychologist at Guilford College in the US, pointed out that wealthy, oddly-named Americans are more likely to find themselves in Who's Who. He found no consistent bad effects of having a strange name, but noted that both common and unusual names are sometimes deemed desirable.

Conley, who is a sociologist at New York University, says that children with unusual names may learn impulse control because they may be teased or get used to people asking about their names. "They actually benefit from that experience by learning to control their emotions or their impulses, which is of course a great skill for success."

But for the main part, he says, the effect of a name on its bearer rarely amounts to more than the effect of being raised by parents who would choose such a name.

A similar conclusion is reached by Gregory Clark, the economist behind the book The Son Also Rises: Surnames and the History of Social Mobility. Although the main focus of his research is family names, Clark has looked at first names too - specifically, the names of 14,449 freshmen students attending the elite University of Oxford between 2008-2013. By contrasting the incidence of first names in the Oxford sample with their incidence among the general population (of the same age), he calculated the probability, relative to average, that a person given a particular name would go to Oxford. (For the purposes of his research he excluded students with non-English or Welsh surnames.)

Names at Oxford University 2008-13

Top ten names Bottom ten names
Name Relative chance of attending Oxford Name Relative chance of attending Oxford
Eleanor 3.69 Stacey 0.08
Peter 3.54 Connor 0.08
Simon 3.33 Bradley 0.07
Anna 3.14 Reece 0.06
Katherine 3.07 Danny 0.04
Elizabeth 3.01 Kayleigh 0.04
Richard 2.90 Jade 0.03
Catherine 2.87 Paige 0.02
John 2.82 Shannon 0.02
Stephen 2.81 Shane 0
Source: Gregory Clark et al Surnames: A New Source for the History of Social Mobility (in press)

He notes that there are more than three times as many Eleanors at Oxford than we might expect, given the frequency of that first name among girls in the general population, and Peters, Simons and Annas are not far behind. Conversely, there is less than a 30th of the expected number of Jades and an even smaller proportion of Paiges and Shannons. An Eleanor is 100 times more likely to go to Oxford than a Jade.

However, there is no evidence that it's the names causing such a marked discrepancy, rather than other factors they represent, Clark says. Different names are popular among different social classes, and these groups have different opportunities and goals.

The changing name game

Xander
  • "Parents are now more likely to want their children to stand out rather than fit in," says Jean Twenge - she thinks non-traditional first names are a sign of growing individualism in society
  • In England, according to Gregory Clark, it has become rarer to name babies after relatives
  • In France and Belgium, the move away from saints' names is seen as a symptom of a secularised society
  • The increase in non-traditional first names among African Americans has been linked to the Black Power movement

"That's something that's emerged in modern England that didn't exist around 1800," he says. When he re-ran his study, but this time looking at students attending Oxford and Cambridge in the early 19th Century, he found the correlation between names and university attendance far less marked. First names simply weren't the social signifiers they are now.

What's happened since then is a move towards unusual, even unique, names. Before 1800, Clark says, four first names referred to half of all English men. In 2012, according to the Office for National Statistics, the top four names (Harry, Oliver, Jack, Charlie) accounted for just 7% of English baby boys (and the picture was much the same in Wales).

Similarly in the US, in 1950, 5% of US parents chose a name for their child that wasn't in the top 1,000 names. In 2012, that figure was up to 27%.

As late as the 18th Century, it wasn't uncommon for parents to call multiple children the same name - two Johns for different grandfathers, for example. Now parents increasingly look for unique names or spellings of names. As Jean Twenge points out in her book the Narcissism Epidemic, Jasmine now rubs shoulders in naming lists with Jazmine, Jazmyne, Jazzmin, Jazzmine, Jasmina, Jazmyn, Jasmin, and Jasmyn.

As baby names become a matter of choice rather than tradition, they reveal more about the people doing the choosing. An example of this is the growing ease with which one can guess whether a person in the US is black or white. Roland Fryer and Steven Levitt point out that in California in the years running up to 2003, around 40% of black girls were given names that weren't bestowed on a single white girl in the state.

Graph showing the declining uniformity of American names

The implications of this clearer signalling of class and race are striking. In a study from 2003, called Are Emily And Greg More Employable Than Lakisha and Jamal? Marianne Bertrand and Sendhil Mullainathan sent nearly 5,000 CVs in response to job advertisements in Chicago and Boston newspapers. The CVs were the same, but half were given fake names that sounded like they belonged to white people, like Emily Walsh or Greg Baker, and the other half were given names that sounded African American, like Lakisha Washington or Jamal Jones. The call-back rate from employers was 50% higher on the "white" names then the "black" names. The effects were noted even for federal contractors with "affirmative action" policies, and companies boasting they were "equal opportunities" employers.

The Magazine on names


The researchers inferred that employers were using first names to discriminate unfairly against black candidates, perhaps at an unconscious level. Those same prejudices might also come into play at the interviewing stage, but a black applicant called Greg Baker, who receives an invitation to an interview, has at least got his foot in the door.

There is also striking evidence of names triggering different outcomes for schoolchildren.

David Figlio, now at Northwestern University, analysed the scores of some 55,000 children in a school district of Florida. Instead of just distinguishing between "white" and "black" names, he codified what aspects of names meant that they were more likely to belong to black children and children from low-income families. This allowed him to create a sliding scale, which went, for example, from Drew to Dwayne to Damarcus to Da'Quan. Figlio found that the further along this scale he went, the worse the school test scores and the less likely the student was to be recommended for the schools' programme for "gifted" students. Strikingly, this held true for brothers within a family, and even - although the sample size was small - for twins. Figlio believes that the fault lies with the expectations of schoolteachers and administrators - at schools with more black teachers, the effects were less marked.

Nomen est omen

Sue Yoo
My name is Sue Yoo and I'm a lawyer.
I can't say with certainty why I decided to become one but I graduated from college the year that the dot.com bubble burst and the legal profession seemed like a good, safe career path.
Since they are immigrants to the United States, at the outset my parents did not understand the impact of the name they were giving me, but I grew up with people commenting on it all the time. Even before I knew what it meant to sue anyone people were telling me I should become a lawyer so that's a bit of support for the theory that a person's name could determine his or her profession.

In separate research, Figlio used the Florida school data to show that black boys who are given names more common among girls are more likely to develop behavioural problems when they reach puberty. The problems increase significantly when there are girls in the same year group with the same name.

If names do affect their bearers' chance of success, it may not always be because of the reactions they cause in other people (the "looking-glass self"). Psychologists talk about "implicit egotism", the positive feelings we each have about ourselves. Brett Pelham cites the concept in explaining his finding that individuals called Virginia, Mildred, Jack and Philip proliferate in Virginia, Milwaukee, Jacksonville and Philadelphia - he believes they are drawn to live there. Another intriguing 2007 paper, entitled Moniker Maladies, found that people's fondness for the initials of their names could get in the way of success. Leif Nelson and Joseph Simmons analysed almost a century of baseball strikeouts and found that hitters with the initial K had a higher strike-out rate ("K" denotes a strike-out in baseball). They also found that graduate students with the initials C and D had a slightly lower grade point average than A and B students, and A and B applicants to law school were more likely to go to better colleges.

E Conley certainly has a fondness for her own initial - which in her case is her name.

"It's just cool that people, especially my friends, will never look at the letter E in the same way again," she says. But she doesn't seem to think her unusual name has had a profound influence on her life so far. "It's just an interesting experience - I'm really no different than an Elizabeth."

Her father reflects that although his children haven't been teased - as some bearers of unusual names are - part of the reason might be the open-minded character of their school and neighbourhood. "I wouldn't say that names don't matter at all," he says. "But how they matter depends on the context."

The Why Factor is broadcast on the BBC World Service. Listen to the programme about given names or the programme about surnames.

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