Tuesday, 28 April 2020

Coronavirus: Care home deaths up as hospital cases fall


Care home for the elderly
A third of all coronavirus deaths in England and Wales are now happening in care homes, figures show.
Office for National Statistics data showed there were 2,000 coronavirus care home deaths in the week ending 17 April - double the previous week.
Projections for the following week - up to last Friday - suggested the numbers have since continued to rise.
It comes as coronavirus hospital deaths have started falling after peaking on 8 April.
Mike Padgham, of the Independent Care Group, which represents care homes, said care homes were now the "true front line" in the fight against coronavirus.
He said it was taking a "terrible toll".
"These are our lived ones - mothers, fathers, brothers, sisters, aunts, uncles and friends who have been taken from us early. They deserve better."
He said the sector needed more testing, protective equipment and money to tackle the outbreaks.

How quickly are care home deaths rising?

The daily updates provided by government do not include care home deaths.
The ONS has been able to track these by looking at deaths certificates - but that means the data lags behind the hospital deaths provided by the government.
Up until 10 April just over 1,000 coronavirus-related deaths had been recorded in care homes so far.
A week later this had increased by another 2,000 to top 3,000 in England and Wales.
Projections for the following week - up to last Friday - suggest they rose again.
Chart
Similar trends are being seen in Northern Ireland and Scotland.
But these figures may be an under-estimate. 
The overall number of people dying in care homes is now three times higher than it was before the pandemic started.
Less than half of these extra deaths are being attributed to coronavirus.

Hospital deaths appear to have peaked

At the weekend the government announced hospital coronavirus deaths had topped 20,000 in the UK since the start of pandemic.
But data from the NHS suggested they peaked on 8 April - in England at least. 
Chart
The ONS data for England and Wales shows a similar trend in hospitals.

What does this mean for excess deaths?

Official figures show the total number of people dying in the UK from all causes in hospitals and the community is double what we would expect for this time of year. 
Government advisers say this is important to track as it reveals the indirect impact of the pandemic, from factors such as people missing out on care and dying from other conditions, as well as coronavirus deaths.
Chart
In the week to 17 April the total number of deaths in England and Wales topped 22,000 - the highest since records began in 1993. 
Once you include Northern Ireland and Scotland the figures are nearly 25,000.

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