Al Shabaab, the African Union and the United States ironically all seem to share the same thinking on one aspect of the Somalia crisis: That the failed state must be put back together again, by force if necessary, and regardless of what ordinary Somalis themselves might think.This may well be the flaw at the heart of the current military strategy in Somalia, that has seen the stakes raised even higher with the bombings that claimed nearly 80 lives in Kampala last weekend, with promises of more to come.
It is not yet clear what effect this gruesome attack will have on the Ugandan government’s assessment of its ability to effectively deal with this aspect of its involvement in Somalia, or whether such an assessment will induce it to take real leadership within the region by forcing a rethink on this continent-wide challenge of viability.
The other big risk is whether the militarists in Uganda’s government will be able to resist the temptation to take advantage of this security problem and develop another strategy for regime preservation.Read More
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